Debt rigidity crisis
Debt
rigidity crisis
Salman
Najafov
Abstract
paper demonstrates that debt crises
are caused by debt rigidity. It is noted that similarly to wage and price
rigidity debt rigidity makes markets unable to adjust quickly and adequately to
the shocks in economy. It is justified that to make companies and banks more
flexible and resistant to shocks, companies’ liabilities similarly to income
and assets price should be flexible. Paper argues that crisis in Japan and
banking fragility in US and euro area countries are caused by debt rigidity,
and these problems can be solved by liability flexibility which can be provided
by profit participating financing.classification: G01: debt crises, debt
rigidity, profit/loss sharing financing
Introduction
One of the main factors of
effectiveness of firms and economy in whole is its flexibility or ability to
adjust quickly and adequately to the shocks in economy. In particular the key
factor of flexibility of firms is price and wage flexibility. The presence of
nominal rigidity is an important part of macroeconomic theory since it can
explain why markets may not reach equilibrium and face crisis.exists in
financial sector too. This is debt rigidity which similarly to wage and price
rigidity makes markets unable to adjust quickly and adequately to the shocks in
economy. Debt rigidity can be expressed in the following way: though income and
asset price of economic agents are flexible and decrease during recession,
their debts don’t decline. This downward debt rigidity restricts the ability of
debtors to fulfill debt obligations and leads to debt crisis.rigidity causes a
debt crisis not only during recession but during economic rise too. So during
economic rise when companies’ incomes and asset prices increase but they
liabilities remain, the value of external financing becomes less than value of
internal financing that increases demand for credit. And this credit boom as it
was shown by Austrian school creates the prerequisites for debt crisis.
To make real sector more
flexible and able to adjust quickly and adequately to the shocks, companies’
liabilities similarly to income and assets price should be flexible. Liability
flexibility can be provided by profit/loss sharing. Profit participating
financing will strengthen stability of banks too as money attracted by banks
are not debt but trust account or money transferred to bank in trust.rigidity
negatively influences lending too. It can be seen in Japan where, on the one
hand the companies, because of the fear that incomes and value of assets in the
future will be insufficient for repayment of debts, reduce demand for credits.
On the other hand banks also because of risks to face insolvency to depositors
tighten the requirements for debtors and so decrease the lending. Thus the
reluctance of both firms to borrow and banks to lend may be overcome by profit
participating financing.
We start in this paper with a
description of how debt crises occur. We then show that Japanese crisis is
caused by debt rigidity. Then it is argued that because of debt rigidity
banking sector in US and euro area is also vulnerable to crisis.
Debt rigidity as
the cause of debt crises
Why do debt
crises take place? It is obviously that debt crisis is the inability of debtors
to fulfill obligations to creditors. There are some reasons why debtors face debt
problems. Among them decline in asset prices, "malinvestment
<#"828353.files/image001.gif">
Figure 1. Nikkei index and the
dynamics of land prices in Japan
rigidity and banking problems
in US and euro area countries
debt rigidity crediting
crisis
Debt rigidity problem is urgent for
US and European countries too. As it can be seen from figure 2 the share of
securities in banking assets in US is 19%, in some euro area countries this
figure is about 35%. Taking into consideration record low interest rate in US
and euro area (figure 3 and 4) it is obvious that expected rise in interest
rate will have negative effect on banking sector, because rise of interest rate
will decrease the value of securities banks hold and so will make difficulties
for them to fulfill their obligations towards depositors and other creditors.
2. Share of debt
securities in total assets of banking sectors in US (July 2014) and euro area
(2012), percentage of total assets, 2012
3. Federal Funds
Rate, end of period, %
4. ECB interest
rate
Conclusion
to wage and price
rigidity debt rigidity restricts flexibility of markets and makes them unable
to adjust quickly and adequately to the shocks in economy. To make real sector
more flexible and resistant to shocks, companies’ liabilities similarly to
income and assets price should be flexible. Liability flexibility can be
provided by profit/loss sharing. Profit participating financing will strengthen
stability of banks too as money attracted by banks are not debt but trust
account or money transferred to bank in trust.rigidity negatively influences
lending too. On the one hand the companies, because of the fear to face
insolvency on loans, reduce demand for credits. On the other hand banks also
because of risks to face insolvency to depositors tighten the requirements for
debtors. Thus the reluctance of both firms to borrow and banks to lend may be
overcome by profit participating financing.
Debt rigidity problem is urgent for
US and European countries too. Taking into consideration near-zero interest
rate in US and euro area it is obvious that expected rise in interest rate will
decrease the value of securities banks hold and so will provoke banking crisis.
1. Koo,
R. 2011. The world in balance sheet recession: causes, cure, and politics.
Real-world economics review, issue no. 58, pp. 19-37
. Minsky,
H. 1980. Capitalist Financial processes and the instability of Capitalism. Journal
of Economic Issues, No. 2, pp. 505-523
3. Mises, L. 1912. The Theory
of Money and Credit <http://www.econlib.org/library/Mises/msT.html>